{"id":3388,"date":"2025-05-16T00:06:56","date_gmt":"2025-05-15T22:06:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/?p=3388"},"modified":"2025-05-16T11:26:50","modified_gmt":"2025-05-16T09:26:50","slug":"a-new-look-at-bitcoin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/?p=3388","title":{"rendered":"A New Look at Bitcoin"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>For many years, I had a pretty fixed opinion about Bitcoin: to me, it seemed like a fancy idea designed mostly to pull money out of people\u2019s pockets. A digital \u201csomething\u201d without real-world value \u2013 and, as such, not something that would ever hold lasting worth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But I\u2019ve never been so convinced of my own views that I\u2019d refuse to take a second look. Partly out of curiosity, and partly driven by a gut feeling that there might be more to it than I had initially seen, I started digging.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/ANewLookAtBitcoin.png\" rel=\"lightbox[3388]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/ANewLookAtBitcoin-1024x683.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/ANewLookAtBitcoin-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/ANewLookAtBitcoin-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/ANewLookAtBitcoin-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/ANewLookAtBitcoin.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, I\u2019ll spare you the technical rundown \u2013 the mysterious creator known as Satoshi Nakamoto, the blockchain technology, the decentralized architecture, and the fact that no single entity controls it. Those aspects have been discussed endlessly. If you&#8217;re interested, just google them \u2013 you\u2019ll find more information than you\u2019ll ever need.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What caught my attention was something else entirely: the ideas behind Bitcoin. The why, not just the how. And as I explored that landscape, I came across a range of arguments and perspectives. Some I quickly dismissed \u2013 too speculative, too doomsday-driven, too far out. But others made me pause.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This post is about those ideas. I won\u2019t tell you what to think \u2013 instead, I\u2019ll share what I found compelling and let you decide what it means for you.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The First Idea: Value<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The first idea that made me reconsider was about value \u2013 and my original assumption that something existing purely in the digital world couldn&#8217;t possibly have any. You can\u2019t grab it. You can\u2019t put it in your pocket. You can\u2019t hand it to someone physically. It\u2019s just ones and zeroes in a virtual universe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But then again \u2013 why not?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the end of the day, we decide what holds value. Value is a social construct \u2013 a shared agreement that something is worth something else in exchange. And that \u201csomething\u201d doesn\u2019t have to be physical at all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A great early example is seashells. Across many parts of the world, and independently from one another, people used shells as currency. It worked because shell money satisfied a few key requirements:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Scarcity<\/strong>: Not just any shell would do. Typically, rare or hard-to-produce shells were used \u2013 ones that couldn\u2019t simply be picked up at the beach, making the currency difficult to counterfeit or inflate.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Portability<\/strong>: Currency has to be easy to carry and exchange. If you can\u2019t transport it, you can\u2019t trade with it \u2013 simple as that.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mutual acceptance<\/strong>: This is the most fragile and most essential requirement. For a currency to work, everyone in the system needs to agree on its value. If you and I agree that something has value, we can trade. But if the next person doesn\u2019t accept it, the system breaks down.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>And underlying that mutual acceptance is trust. We\u2019ll only accept a currency if we trust that it will retain its value over time. That means it must be hard to fake, limited in supply, and relatively stable. If any of those qualities fail, trust evaporates \u2013 and so does value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Second Idea: Control<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The second idea that caught my attention was about control.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Any one of our traditional currencies \u2014 now and throughout history \u2014 has always been under the control of someone. A government. A central authority. A ruler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Let\u2019s take a look back at ancient Rome.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Roman Empire used the <strong>Denarius <\/strong>(a silver coin) and the <strong>Aureus<\/strong> (a gold coin). The Aureus first appeared in the 3rd century BCE, but regular minting began under <strong>Julius Caesar <\/strong>around 49 BCE. At that time, it contained <strong>about 8 grams of pure gold<\/strong>. Under <strong>Augustus <\/strong>(~14 AD), it was slightly reduced to 7.8 grams. By the time of <strong>Trajan <\/strong>(~117 AD), it had dropped to 7.22 grams \u2014 a slow, steady decline. Even under <strong>Septimius Severus<\/strong> (~211 AD), it still held around 7.19 grams.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But then things changed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Facing political instability, military overreach, and economic crisis, the Roman Empire started <strong>aggressively debasing<\/strong> its currency. Under <strong>Emperor Valerian<\/strong> (~260 AD), the gold content of the once-stable Aureus had fallen to just <strong>3.4 grams<\/strong> \u2014 less than half of what it had been just 50 years earlier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>Denarius <\/strong>followed a similar path. When introduced in 211 BCE, it was nearly <strong>4.5 grams of high-purity silver<\/strong>. For nearly two centuries, it remained relatively stable. Around 44 BCE \u2014 during Julius Caesar\u2019s time \u2014 <strong>1 Aureus equaled 25 Denarii<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But over time, the Denarius, too, was debased beyond recognition. By 241 AD, it contained <strong>only 48% silver<\/strong>, and by the mid-3rd century, it had become virtually worthless. <strong>At that point, 1 Aureus was worth more than 1,000 Denarii<\/strong> \u2014 not because the Aureus gained value, but because the Denarius had lost nearly all of it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Eventually, trust in the Aureus eroded as well. The response? <strong>A currency reset<\/strong>. The old gold coin was abandoned and replaced by the <strong>Solidus<\/strong>, introduced by<strong> Constantine the Great<\/strong> around 312 AD. The Solidus contained <strong>approximately 4.45 grams of gold<\/strong> \u2014 and was worth a staggering <strong>275,000 Denarii<\/strong>. That number says it all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The Solidus marked a complete reboot of the Roman monetary system.<\/strong> The emperors had <strong>overspent <\/strong>for decades \u2014 on wars, subsidies, pensions, and public \u201csupport payments\u201d of all kinds. The result was <strong>hyperinflation<\/strong>, and the only way out was a hard stop. A new currency. A new start.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Needless to say, <strong>very few managed to preserve their wealth during the transition<\/strong>. The state had full control over the currency \u2014 and when it collapsed, so did the value stored in it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Third Idea: Independence<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s not really a standalone idea \u2014 rather, <strong>\u201cindependence\u201d is the logical result of what happens when \u201ctrust\u201d is broken due to \u201ccontrol\u201d<\/strong>, the two topics we explored earlier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The story of the <strong>Aureus <\/strong>showed us how the Roman Empire &#8220;adjusted&#8221; its monetary system to finance its ever-growing ambitions. But this wasn\u2019t a unique case. Its successor, the <strong>Solidus<\/strong>, introduced in 312 AD, began as a <strong>4.5-gram coin of nearly pure gold<\/strong>. For centuries, it remained stable in both weight and purity, earning the trust of people across the late Roman and later Byzantine world. It was hard money, and it worked \u2014 for 700 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But even the Solidus eventually fell. In the 11th century, economic crises, mounting military expenses, and growing trade deficits led to <strong>a reduction of gold content<\/strong> \u2014 first to ~85%, then lower. Trust eroded. The once-reliable coin was finished. In 1092 AD, it was replaced by the <strong>Hyperpyron<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Hyperpyron kept the original weight of 4.45 grams and started strong, with a gold content of 90\u201395%. For a time, it succeeded \u2014 becoming the new standard. But history repeated itself: by ~1200 AD, its purity fell to 80\u201385%. By 1350, it dropped to 50\u201360%. Once again, trust gave way to manipulation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>All throughout history, currencies have followed the same tragic pattern<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>They start strong \u2014 stable, trusted, and valuable.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They serve well \u2014 until the issuing authority, often the state, begins to <strong>manipulate them for short-term political gain<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Overstretching, inflation, loss of backing, and abuse of control lead to <strong>collapse<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>And in nearly every case, this process plays out in the name of \u201c<strong>necessity<\/strong>\u201d \u2014 financing wars, buying loyalty, or avoiding hard fiscal choices.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Every single one of them.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This was what caught my attention \u2013 listening to some audiobooks while driving from Hamburg down to Frankfurt twice. And because I was intrigued by the insight, I verified it myself \u2013 and found it to be accurate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, with all that in mind, I took a closer look at the present situation \u2014 the United States with the US Dollar, China with the Yuan, and Europe with the Euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>At the end of 2024, the <strong>United States had accumulated a staggering 35.5 trillion US dollars in national debt<\/strong> \u2014 about <strong>124% of GDP<\/strong> and roughly 106,000 dollars per capita. The country faces excessive military spending and a persistent trade deficit.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>China<\/strong>, at the same time, reported an <strong>official national debt of around 4.23 trillion US dollars, equivalent to just 25\u201326% of GDP<\/strong>. However, this number does not include the massive local government debts and state-owned enterprise obligations. When those are factored in, China\u2019s true debt load is estimated to be as high as <strong>120\u2013125% of GDP<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Europe <\/strong>presents a more complex picture, since we\u2019re not looking at a single country but rather a union of sovereign states. By the end of 2024, the <strong>combined national debt of the EU countries<\/strong> had reached <strong>approximately 15.8 trillion US dollars<\/strong> \u2014 <strong>around 81% of GDP<\/strong>. Germany alone accounted for 2.69 trillion euros, or about 62.5% of its own GDP.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>So while the absolute numbers differ \u2014 and depend heavily on how and what you measure \u2014 <strong>one thing unites all three major economic areas<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>Massive debt burdens, the ongoing need to refinance them, and full state control over the respective monetary systems.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Only a wicked mind would draw any parallels to previously discussed topics\u2026 which brings us back to: Bitcoin. But before we go down that rabbit hole, we need to take a look at various states &amp; currencies over the centuries, then a detailed one one the 20<sup>th<\/sup> century\u2026 in my <a href=\"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/?p=3394\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"3394\">next posts<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For years, I dismissed Bitcoin as just another digital gimmick \u2014 a clever way to pull money out of people\u2019s pockets, with no real-world value. But as I began to dig deeper, I found something unexpected: historical parallels, patterns of currency collapse, and a recurring truth about how trust, control, and independence shape our money.<\/p>\n<p>From Roman coins to modern debt crises, this post explores the deeper ideas behind Bitcoin \u2014 not the tech, but the why.<\/p>\n<p>A fresh look. A bit of history. And maybe, a shift in perspective. <a href=\"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/?p=3388\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":65,"featured_media":3389,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[125],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3388","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/ANewLookAtBitcoin.png","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p1azp4-SE","publishpress_future_action":{"enabled":false,"date":"2027-04-14 14:27:47","action":"change-status","newStatus":"private","terms":[],"taxonomy":"category","extraData":[]},"publishpress_future_workflow_manual_trigger":{"enabledWorkflows":[]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3388","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/65"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3388"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3388\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3423,"href":"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3388\/revisions\/3423"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3389"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3388"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3388"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/andreaszapf.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3388"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}